In Zvi's 2/11 Covid update, he turned to Metaculus for help. He looked at the numbers. Becase the man is an inveterate trader, he saw odds that were Wrong On The Internet and just couldn't stop himself from creating an account to bet against it.
Another may be sick too, and sick to death, and this affliction may lie in his bowels, as gold in a mine, and be of no use to him; but this bell that tells me of his affliction, digs out, and applies that gold to me: if by this consideration
Weird year, right? Still, some things don't change -- I remain committed to using at least 10% of what income I earn to make the universe better. Here's how I'm thinking about doing that at the end of 2020. (0) Back in February 2019,
This post is cross-posted to the EA Forum, where I expect comments will be much more visible than they are here. This is the second in a series of reports on my decision-making process and decisions in allocating the $500k funding pool from the January 2019 CEA donor lottery. This
This post is cross-posted to the EA Forum, where I expect comments will be much more visible than they are here. The results of the January 2019 CEA donor lottery meant that I was responsible for allocating the donor lottery's $500k funding pool. I entered the donor lottery