and some notes on Silicon Valley Bank Originally posted to LessWrong. epistemic status: Reference post, then some evidenced speculation about emerging current events (as of 2023-03-12 morning). A "liquidity" crisis There's one kind of "bank run" where the story, in stylized terms, starts like
Originally posted to LessWrong. Junk fees are in the news from the 2023 State of the Union address, get picked up by Matt Yglesias, and Zvi responds in Junk Fees, Bundling and Unbundling. Matt and my former colleague propose an economic framing of "bundling versus unbundling", and Zvi
or, Scope-sensitive snafus in summing speculations previously: Metaculus has some issues (1) Should I expect monkeypox to be a big deal for the world? Well, fortunately, Metaculus has a pair of questions that ask users to predict how many infections and deaths there will be in 2022: 203 users(!) made
Yesterday, the US FDA responded to a submission for Emergency Use Authorization (that was submitted 146 days earlier) for use of fluvoxamine "for the outpatient treatment of adults 24 years and older...to prevent progression to severe COVID-19 and/or hospitalization" (p. 2). The FDA's conclusion
previouly: What on Earth is a Series I savings bond? To recap: The Series I savings bond is a US government bond offered to US citizens, with purchases limited to $10k per person per year. It pays interest set by a formula based on the official inflation rate, with a