Icosian Reflections

…a tendency to systematize and a keen sense

that we live in a broken world.

Archive


(2024)

Drug development costs can range over two orders of magnitude

Poker is a bad game for teaching epistemics. Figgie is a better one.


(2023)

Asimov on building robots without the First Law

“Liquidity” vs “solvency” in bank runs

(Naïve) microeconomics of bundling goods


(2022)

Metaculus and medians

The FDA on Fluvoxamine, round 1

Series I (April 2022 update)

So you want to work on biosecurity

Onward, again

[Meta] To Icosian Reflections


(2021)

Donations 2021

What on Earth is a Series I savings bond?

Age and Covid-19 IFR in Africa

Age and Covid-19 IFR in India

Which vaccine?

How proper scoring rules are like order books

The Times on EU Vaccines, 2021-03-01

Metaculus has some issues

For whom it tolls


(2020)

Donations 2020

2018-19 Donor Lottery Report, pt. 2

2018-19 Donor Lottery Report, pt. 1

Personal opinions on my Harvard courses H

Speculative preparedness


(2019)

Donations 2019

Elasticities, revisited

Review: The Triumph of Injustice

Everybody knows

Adding HTTPS


(2018)

Donations 2018

Review: Ready Player One

Review: Terra Ignota

Onward, abroad!


(2017)

Donations 2017

Congratulations, Margo!

What I found in the desert

Chelsea Manning / HKS IOP / "Visiting Fellowship" H

The dark joke that was Shkreli's voir dire

Mass Ave, Mt Auburn, and a Tale of Two Schools H

Thoughts on "Be Reasonable" as a collaboration policy H

Is Patriotism A Virtue?

On “’till the stock of the Puritans die” H

Three Gifts from Penny Rheingans

Happy Housing Day! H

What is there to say?


(2016)

Remembering Aaron Swartz

Onward

A Verse for the City 

Those Emails

I can't support the Green platform

Review: Anathem

Provide for the Common Defense

[Meta] My Faults My Own is now (happily) hosted by Digital Ocean

Thou then wert our parent, the nurse of our soul... (A thank-you post) H

A Verse for Commencement Day 

At What Price ‘Progress’? H

In the Crimson Again H

Oral Arguments from Whole Women's Health v. Hellerstedt

"Weedout" Courses Considered Harmful

Scariness and Self-Selection: A Shopping-Week Meditation

Godspeed Columbia

Devotional Songs

Godspeed Challenger

My Most-Read Posts of 2015 

December in Review 

If I Ran the Zoo H

As Allies

[Meta] New Year, New Face


(2015)

Notes from the IOP's UC Debate

Greenlaw and Morris for the UC H

Notes from the UC Crossfire Debate H

Stand With Mizzou

A Verse for the Armistice 

10/28 Links: Thinkers, Statesmen, Economists, Doctors 

Ben Kuhn sums up how Scott Aaronson sums up my thoughts on divestment

For the Brave Sky-Travelers 

On the AAU Survey and the Crimson H

The Phone

9/23 Links: Affording College, Thinking Outside the Box, Papametrics 

Karim Pirbay is an Email Scammer H

A Verse for the Memorial 

Yes, you should hire college-educated computer scientists

Something's Rotten in the State of Facebook

Go in Peace

PredictIt Arbitrage

Good-Adjacency (Examples)

Quotable Candidates

CTY (and the Passionfruit)

A Verse for the Fourth 

Love Wins (in quotation)

Something About Bernie

The Garden and the Jungle

Parental Leave

John Nash, 1928-2015

Words for Baltimore

What is happening in my hometown

A Meditation on π

4/17 Links: The Ecuadorian Tourism Agency, and Other Air Travel Pranks 

False Flag Flyers H

4/10 Links: The Once and Future Friday Tradition 

I'm in the HPR!

Lower Tuitions at Stanford H

Notes: The Gender Gap in Math

Notes: Parallel Proofs for Parallel Programs

Xerox Xerox

Notes: Building a Better Web Browser

25 Quotable Things

Ted Cruz is Having a Bad Second Day

Three Modest Proposals, Instead of Divesting... H

A Bag Full of Books, a Cache Full of Blogs

Words for Social Justice

News I Don't Want to Read {Today, Ever}

Where I'll be spending my Thursday afternoon

Not Quite a Dissent: On Solidarity [Guest Post, Response]

Empty Declarations

[CS161] The Classic CV Error

[CS161] On Scheduling

Cultivated Publicy

http://dev/null

2/6 Links: Photographs and a Cactus Doctor 

Anti-vaxxers

Godspeed

Class Notes

Culpable Priors

1/23 Links: Sciences from Soft to Hard; Eggs from Hard to Soft 

Crypto at Davos, or Harvard Profs vs. David Cameron

Changing the Stakes Sideways

1/16 Links: Technologies, Games, and Play 

On Charlie Hebdo

1/9 Links: Futures and Pasts of Things 

1/2 Links: '2015' 

Lynn Conway

Saving Citizens from the Theater of Capital Punishment


(2014)

Facebook is Not Your Friend

12/25/14 #2: A Nontrivially Improved Future

12/25/14 #1: A Highly Improbable Peace

[Meta] A New Face

Burn the Man's Books!

Jon Stewart Vidwrap: Brown, Garner, and Race

11/28 Links: (Un)reality 

(Un)fairness

The only thing I'm going to say about Ferguson

11/21 Links: Languages, Language, and Words, Words, Words 

With sincerest apologies to Mr. Whitman 

{he,they} / {him,them} / {his,their}

Democracy! (Part 2: The Democratizing)

Democracy!

10/31 Links: Links, Explosions, and People Talking 

Sex: Statistics and Student Opinions

Salk!

10/24 Links: Really Awesome Things 

10/17 Links: Back on the Wagon 

Happy Ada Day!

I Want to Major in Everything! H

Who goes to class, anyway? H

9/5 Links: Back to School 

8/29 Links 

Dear Brother: These are the friends I met H

Interlude: More Links on the Ivies H

Dear Brother: Here's How to Get Admitted to Harvard (if you want) H

Dear Brother: Go Wherever You Want for College H

The Manxome Foe

Today's Quote: Fallibility

Necessary, True...

Whose Voice? Whose Guide? H

Blogosphere Roundup: Q Difficulty Ratings H

[Meta] We're trying something new here

Oh, say... H

Good News in the World!

Some Friendly (College) Advice H

Quora Repost: CS/Math@Harvard? H

Quora Repost: CS and Friends?

Meaning in the Darkness


(2013)

A Circle of Light

How Do You Spend the Darkest Night?

Impressions: Freakonomics

Headlines, News, Events H

Bad Graphs H

107

100 Thanks

[OGPS] A Letter Home

[OGPS] Faith

[OGPS] What I Learned from Jacob Lurie

Epiphany at the Petting Zoo H

A Day's Worth

[OGPS] [China] Week 2 Disasters

[OGPS] Impressions, Addendum

Eating (Food)

[OGPS] Impressions

[China] Regressing

Eating Animals II

Eating Animals I

[China] [Meta] All Posts

[Meta] Inferential Distances

[China] Looking Backwards

[China] [Meta] Internet

[China] Departure, Arrival

[Meta] Name Change

Bad Advice, Quantum Mechanics, Normalcy

[Polyphasic Sleep] Errata, Food, Reductionism

[Polyphasic Sleep] Tired, Dreams, Sunrise, BSG

[Polyphasic Sleep] Towards a Theory of Polyphasic Sleep, Reports From the Field

[Polyphasic Sleep] Greetings, Polyphasic Sleep, Chives